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MOZAMBIQUE: DEMOGRAPHIC RISKS AND THREATS TO DEVELOPMENT
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MOZAMBIQUE: DEMOGRAPHIC RISKS AND THREATS TO DEVELOPMENT
Annotation
PII
S0321-50750000616-3-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Julia Zinkina 
ORCID: 0000-0003-0524-2140
Edition
Issue №2
Pages
47-51
Abstract
The paper presents a population and age-sex structure forecast based on the medium UN scenario but taking into account the real fertility dynamics of the recent years. The results show that if fertility decline does not accelerate dramatically, Mozambique may reach the level of population of Russia by the end of the century. Moreover, the inertial scenario of demographic development bears serious strain upon the social infrastructure, systems of education and healthcare, and the development prospects of the country in general. Thus, the upcoming demographic explosion is a very acute problem for Mozambique and requires concentrated measures targeted at the acceleration of the fertility decline.
Date of publication
01.02.2017
Number of purchasers
4
Views
1267
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0.0 (0 votes)
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References



Additional sources and materials

1.  UN Population Division. 2012. United Nations.Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Population Division Database. World Population Prospects -http://www.un.org/esa/population  
 2.  World Bank. World Development Indicators, 2015 - http://data.worldbank.org/indicator  
 3.  Cunguara B. An exposition of development failures in Mozambique // Review of African Political Economy. 2012. Vol. 39, № 131, p. 161-170.  
 4.  AfDB, OECD, UNDP, ECA. African Economic Outlook 2012. Promoting Youth Employment. African Development Bank, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, United Nations Development Programme,United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, 2012.  
 5.  Mal'tuzianskaya lovushka - tipichnaya dlya doindustrial'nykh obschestv periodicheski povtoryayuschayasya situatsiya, pri kotoroj rost naseleniya obgonyaet rost proizvodstva produktov pitaniya (prim. avt.). 6.  Clark G. A farewell to alms: a brief economic history of the world. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. 2007. P. 40-70.  
 7.  Patel R. Mozambique's food riots - the true face of global warming // The Guardian. 05.09.2010 - www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2010/sep/05/mozambique-foodriots-patel; The angry poor: Why Mozambicans took to the streets // The Economist - http://www.economist.com/node/16996835. 09.09.2010.  
 8.  Alfani F., Azzarri C., d’Errico M., Molini V. Poverty in Mozambique: New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys.The World Bank Africa Region, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Department, 2012.  
 9.  Jones S., Tarp F. Jobs and welfare in Mozambique:Country case study for the 2013 World Development Report.Background Paper for the World Development Report 2013.Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 2013. P. 18.

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